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    BBVA Research Publications

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    May 7, 2025

    Peru | Tracking consumption with real-time data in April 2025

    The Big Data Private Consumption Index recorded a yoy growth of 11.6% in April, surpassing both the March figure (10.9%) and the result for the first quarter as a whole (Q1 2025: 8.7%).

    May 2, 2025

    Peru|Year-on-year inflation rose in April, but remains comfortably within the target range

    In April 2025, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.32%, exceeding expectations. The increase was driven by seasonal factors related to Easter, which pushed up the prices of fishery products and transportation services. Poultry prices also rose again. In contrast, fuel prices declined.

    April 30, 2025

    Colombia | BanRep reduces 25bps its policy rate, unanimously, to 9.25%

    The Board of Banrep reduced the monetary policy rate by 25bp to 9.25% in April. This decision was unanimous. On this occasion, they highlighted that inflation and inflation expectations derived from the debt markets declined.

    April 29, 2025

    Colombia | Real Estate Outlook. 2025

    BBVA Research presents its new real estate sector report in two presentations: the first analyzes sales, supply, prices, rentals, and demographics; the second focuses on the structure of construction, financing, and sustainability. It includes sales projections, drivers, and trends through 2026.

    April 25, 2025

    Colombia | Timeliness and clarity of tax messages

    Colombia aims to cut its fiscal deficit to 5.1% of GDP in 2025, but success depends on swift institutional reforms, clear spending plans, and transparent financing. In a volatile global context, timely and credible messages are key to maintaining investor confidence.

    April 11, 2025

    Peru | Central Bank will maintain pause in the short term

    In its April meeting, the Board of the Central Bank decided to keep the policy rate at 4.75%. The monetary policy stance, understood as the real ex-ante reference rate, remains slightly above neutral.

    April 8, 2025

    Colombia | Inflation Ends 4-Month Stable Streak, Settles at 5.1% in March.

    In March 2025 Colombia's total inflation decreased to an annual rate of 5.1% breaking a four-month period of stability or slight increase. This moderation was primarily driven by a decline in non-food inflation, particularly due to the regulated basket. March monthly inflation was 0.52% falling below analysts' expectations.

    April 7, 2025

    Latam | Economic normalization amid an uncertain environment

    The last months of 2024 gave some glimpses of the challenges Latam could face in the coming years. However, looking beyond the first quarter of 2025, some—albeit not all—of these warning signs have faded.

    April 4, 2025

    Colombia | BanRep: A welcome surprise!

    The Banco de la República kept its interest rate unchanged in March, in a context of mixed variables surrounding the decision. In the end, the Bank prioritized economic stability, offering a significant demonstration of independence and technical expertise.

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